Champions League Gameweek 3
Bayern
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
Arsenal
  • Alphonso Davies 35' goal
  • Harry Kane 61' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 13'
  • goal Eberechi Eze 25'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 39'
  • goal Declan Rice 82'

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 53.93% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 21.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Arsenal 24.14% ▲ (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.41% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.26% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 15.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 64.22% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 35.77% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 42.34% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 57.66% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 28.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 71.81% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 45.59% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 34.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Arsenal 19.99% ▼ (-0.41)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 62.62% ▲ (+0.43)
No Goal 4.55%
Arsenal 32.83% ▼ (-0.43)

Corners

Over 8 60.52% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 9.41%
Under 8 30.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 50.65% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 9.87%
Under 9 39.48% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 10.5 41.03% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 58.97% ▲ (+0.20)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 56.9% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 43.1% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 66.84% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 15.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 84.35% ▲ (+0.05)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 60.44% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 39.56% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 31.08% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 68.92% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 2.5 12.64% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.36% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 53.91%
Draw 21.92%
Arsenal 24.14%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 4%
Other @ 15.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 53.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 21.92%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

Champions League
Arsenal
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bayern
  • Jurrien Maduro 22' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 69' goal
  • William Saliba 74' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 77' goal
  • Mikel Merino 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 23'
  • goal Lennart Karl 32'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 43'
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 59'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 59'
Champions League
Bayern
Apr 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
Arsenal
  • Konrad Laimer 54' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 63' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+3'
Champions League
Arsenal
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Emirates Stadium
Bayern
  • Bukayo Saka 12' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 76' goal
  • Thomas Partey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 9'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 18'
  • goal Harry Kane 32'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 55'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Jul 18, 2019 4.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Louis Poznanski 49' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 88' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 71'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Bayern
Jul 19, 2017 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Shanghai Stadium
Arsenal
  • Robert Lewandowski 9' goal
  • Javi Martinez 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 20'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elneny 59'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 84'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 93'
Champions League
Arsenal
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 0
FT
Bayern
  • Theo Walcott 20' goal
  • Theo Walcott 39' yellowcard
  • Laurent Koscielny 54' redcard
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 61' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Alaba 39'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 45'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 55'
  • goal Arjen Robben 68'
  • goal Douglas Costa 78'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 80'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 85'

Form Data

Bayern 6 - 1 RB Leipzig
Viking FK 3 - 3 Bayern
Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 7 - 0 Union Berlin
Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 0 Bodo/Glimt
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille
Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds
Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal
Ipswich 2 - 4 Arsenal
Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal

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