World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2026 2.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kansas City Stadium
  • Lionel Messi   17' goal
  • Lionel Messi   60' goal
  • Lionel Messi   76' goal

Argentina vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News
News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Algeria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Algeria win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Argentina 50.55% (-0.06)
Draw 25.5% (+0.06)
Algeria 23.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.7% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.07% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 27.93% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 47.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 52.95% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 25.8% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.2% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.32% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.68% (-0.09)

Argentina Goals

Over 1.5 45.51% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.49% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 20.66% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.4% (-0.04)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 58.02% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 41.98% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.3% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.7% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.56% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.44% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.93% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.07% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Argentina 50.54%
Draw 25.5%
Algeria 23.94%
Argentina
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.5% (+0.05)
Total : 50.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.02% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.5%
Algeria
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.83% (+0.04)
Total : 23.94%

Build-up

News
How to watch
Head to head