Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 50.12% | 23% | 26.88% |
| Both teams to score 60.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% | 40.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% | 62.82% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% | 16.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% | 28.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% | 63.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.12% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-1 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.57% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.88% |