/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Alexander Sorloth
14'
-
Antonio Nusa
34'
-
Morten Thorsby
38'
-
Erling Haaland
42'
-
Patrick Berg
55'
Norway vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F12%2Fsandro-tonali.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fmateo-retegui.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Italy has a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Italy win it is 0-1 (5.42%).
Result
Norway
61.44%
▼
(-1.21)
Draw
21.73%
▲
(+0.70)
Italy
16.84%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
49.97%
▼
(-1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.87%
▼
(-2.05)
Under 2.5
47.13%
▲
(+2.05)
Over 3.5
30.64%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 3.5
69.37%
▲
(+1.94)
Over 4.5
15.11%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 4.5
84.89%
▲
(+1.38)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
85.17%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 0.5
14.83%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 1.5
56.87%
▼
(-2.03)
Under 1.5
43.13%
▲
(+2.03)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
58.68%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
41.32%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
22.16%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
77.84%
▲
(+0.52)
Score analysis
Norway
61.43%
Draw
21.73%
Italy
16.84%
Norway
1-0
@
11.69%
▲
(+0.56)
2-0 @ 11.16% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.27)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 61.43%
2-0 @ 11.16% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.27)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 61.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.33%
▲
(+0.34)
0-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.51)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.73%
0-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.51)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.73%
Italy
0-1
@
5.42%
▲
(+0.38)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.84%
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.84%