Nations League
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-
Erling Haaland
23'
-
Erling Haaland
37'
-
Alexander Sorloth
41'
-
Erling Haaland
71'
-
Antonio Nusa
76'
-
Abat Aymbetov
43'
-
Aybar Zhaksylykov
88'
Norway vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.63%) and 1-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
Result
Norway
82.13%
▼
(-1.64)
Draw
12.43%
▲
(+0.88)
Kazakhstan
5.44%
▲
(+0.77)
Both Teams to Score:
39.55%
▲
(+2.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.5%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
37.51%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 3.5
40.27%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
59.73%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 4.5
22.36%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 4.5
77.65%
▲
(+0.44)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
93.08%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 0.5
6.93%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 1.5
74.59%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 1.5
25.42%
▲
(+1.20)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5
42.5%
▲
(+2.45)
Under 0.5
57.51%
▼
(-2.44)
Over 1.5
10.68%
▲
(+1.31)
Under 1.5
89.32%
▼
(-1.30)
Score analysis
Norway
82.12%
Draw
12.43%
Kazakhstan
5.44%
Norway
2-0
@
14.19%
▼
(-0.35)
3-0 @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.63)
1-0 @ 10.63%
4-0 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.65)
2-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.47)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.11)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 82.12%
3-0 @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.63)
1-0 @ 10.63%
4-0 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.65)
2-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.47)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.11)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 82.12%
Draw
1-1
@
5.88%
▲
(+0.45)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.43%
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.43%
Kazakhstan
0-1
@
2.2%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 5.44%
1-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 5.44%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Baktiyor Zainutdinov
38'
-
Alibek Kassym
42'
-
Aybol Abiken
72'
-
Islam Chesnokov
75'
-
Aron Donnum
78'