UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
1 - 4
Norway

Sesko (21' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nusa (4', 59'), Haaland (45'), Petter Hauge (83')
Heggem (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Austria 5-1 Norway
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Norway had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Norway
38.74% ( 1.92)	25.39% ( -0.15)	35.87% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

0.62)

47.51% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

0.57)

69.72% (

-0.56)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

1.33)

24.18% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

1.84)

58.5% (

-1.84)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

-0.7)

25.75% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

-0.96)

60.69% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 38.74%

Norway 35.87%

Draw 25.39%

Slovenia	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.87%