World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
0 - 5
Norway

Rata (78')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ryerson (5'), Haaland (23'), Aasgaard (38'), Sorloth (43'), Donnum (69')
Ajer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Moldova and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Norway

All competitions

Last Game: Norway 5-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Norway
35.71% ( 1.64)	26.59% ( 0.14)	37.7% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.28% (

-0.41)

52.72% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

-0.35)

74.36% (

0.35)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

0.81)

28.33% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

1.01)

64.05% (

-1.01)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-1.18)

27.15% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-1.56)

62.55% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Moldova 35.71%

Norway 37.69%

Draw 26.59%

Moldova	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.69%