/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Vadim Rata
78'
-
Julian Ryerson
5'
-
Erling Haaland
23'
-
Thelo Aasgaard
38'
-
Alexander Sorloth
43'
-
Aron Donnum
69'
-
Kristoffer Ajer
86'
Moldova vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
Result
Moldova
35.71%
▲
(+1.64)
Draw
26.59%
▲
(+0.15)
Norway
37.7%
▼
(-1.78)
Both Teams to Score:
52.21%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.28%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
52.72%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
25.64%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 3.5
74.36%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 4.5
11.77%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
88.23%
▲
(+0.23)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
71.68%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 0.5
28.33%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 1.5
35.95%
▲
(+1.02)
Under 1.5
64.05%
▼
(-1.02)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
72.85%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 0.5
27.15%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 1.5
37.45%
▼
(-1.57)
Under 1.5
62.55%
▲
(+1.57)
Score analysis
Moldova
35.71%
Draw
26.59%
Norway
37.69%
Moldova
1-0
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.37)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-97.25)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.71%
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-97.25)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.71%
Draw
1-1
@
12.64%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.59%
0-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.59%
Norway
0-1
@
10.02%
▼
(-0.18)
1-2 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.69%
1-2 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.69%