Gibraltar national football team
Friendlies 2
Nov 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Moldova national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 1
Moldova

Walker (68' pen.)
Ronan (53'), Britto (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mudrac (40')
Motpan (37'), Stina (51'), Lungu (67'), Cojocaru (78'), Danu (87'), Mudrac (90+4')
Danu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Gibraltar and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 1-1 Gibraltar
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Moldova
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.62%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawMoldova
13.53% (0.066000000000001 0.07)24.1% (0.038 0.04)62.37% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 36.66% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)61.14% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)81.1% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)54.46% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.44% (0.054 0.05)87.56% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)19.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)51.39% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 13.53%
    Moldova 62.36%
    Draw 24.1%
GibraltarDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.53%
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 17.36% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 14.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 7.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Moldova

Gibraltar
35.3%
Draw
29.4%
Moldova
35.3%
17