Nations League
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-
Matteo Valli Casadei
20'
-
Giacomo Benvenuti
58'
-
Nicola Nanni
85'
-
Michele Cevoli
85'
-
Nicola Nanni
90'+2'
-
Liam Walker
11'
-
Nicholas Pozo
39'
-
Liam Walker
68'
-
Graeme Torilla
76'
-
Tjay De Barr
87'
-
Ethan Jolley
90'+1'
-
Louie Annesley
90'+5'
San Marino vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
San Marino
43.75%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
24.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Gibraltar
31.36%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
56.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.63%
Under 2.5
46.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
31.34%
Under 3.5
68.66%
Over 4.5
15.61%
Under 4.5
84.39%
▲
(+0.01)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5
78.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
21.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
45.86%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
54.14%
▼
(-0.06)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5
72.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
27.96%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
36.41%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
63.59%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
San Marino
43.75%
Draw
24.89%
Gibraltar
31.36%
San Marino
1-0
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.75%
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.75%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
Gibraltar
0-1
@
7.57%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.36%
1-2 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.36%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Tjay De Barr
17'
-
Ethan Britto
23'
-
Ethan Britto
62'
-
Graeme Torilla
78'
-
Alessandro Tosi
10'
-
Matteo Valli Casadei
15'
-
Samuele Zannoni
60'
-
Michael Battistini
63'
-
Lorenzo Lazzari
76'
-
Tommaso Benvenuti
83'
-
Nicko Sensoli
87'
-
Andrea Contadini
90'+3'
Nations League
-
Davide Simoncini
49'
-
Cristian Brolli
75'
-
Roy Chipolina
15'
-
Graeme Torilla
73'
-
Reece Styche
81'
Nations League
-
Graeme Torilla
42'
-
Liam Walker
90'
-
Nicola Nanni
12'
-
Davide Simoncini
64'