/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fisrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Mohammad Abu Fani
55'
-
Idan Nachmias
82'
-
Dor Turgeman
90'+3'
-
Torbjorn Heggem
31'
-
David Moller Wolfe
39'
-
Alexander Sorloth
59'
-
Kristoffer Ajer
65'
-
Alexander Sorloth
72'
-
Erling Haaland
83'
Israel vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
Result
Israel
25.5%
▼
(-0.68)
Draw
22.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Norway
51.88%
▲
(+0.68)
Both Teams to Score:
60.24%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.16%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 2.5
39.83%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
37.8%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
62.19%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 4.5
20.4%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 4.5
79.59%
▲
(+0.50)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5
71.27%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 0.5
28.73%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 1.5
35.43%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
64.56%
▲
(+1.05)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
84.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
15.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
55.64%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
44.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Israel
25.5%
Draw
22.61%
Norway
51.88%
Israel
2-1
@
6.45%
▼
(-0.12)
1-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.5%
1-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.34%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.61%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.61%
Norway
1-2
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.88%
0-1 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.88%