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World Cup
Israel national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Norway national football team

Israel
2 - 4
Norway

Abu Fani (55'), Turgeman (90+3')
Nachmias (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moller Wolfe (39'), Sorloth (59'), Ajer (65'), Haaland (83')
Heggem (31'), Sorloth (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1France6613
2Italy6513
3Belgium6-34
4Israel6-84

Norway

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: Israel 1-3 Norway

 Israel's World Cup Qualifying games often turn out to be entertaining spectacles for the neutrals; they have both scored and conceded in their last five such games, and each of their last nine has seen at least three goals. Expect that theme to continue in Debrecen, where the 'hosts' can trouble the Norwegian defence, but Solbakken's fearsome attack will surely prove too potent as the Scandinavians make it two for two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
IsraelDrawNorway
25.5% (-0.675 -0.68) 22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 51.88% (0.674 0.67)
Both teams to score 60.24% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (-0.611 -0.61)39.83% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (-0.637 -0.64)62.19% (0.634 0.63)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)28.73% (0.826 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-1.046 -1.05)64.56% (1.044 1.04)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.48% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (0.023000000000003 0.02)44.35% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Israel 25.5%
    Norway 51.88%
    Draw 22.61%
IsraelDrawNorway
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.5%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 6% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.81% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.88%

How you voted: Israel vs Norway

Israel
15.4%
Draw
7.0%
Norway
77.6%
143
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020
5pm
Friendlies 1
Norway  
N
vs.
I
   Israel
Jun 5, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Israel
2-2
Norway
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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