UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Italy national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
France national football team

Italy
1 - 3
France

Cambiaso (35')
Frattesi (31')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rabiot (2', 65'), Vicario (33' og.)
Kolo (44'), Guendouzi (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

France snatch top spot in UEFA Nations League Group 2 from Italy thanks to a Lucas Digne-inspired 3-1 victory at the San Siro on Sunday evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Italy and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with France.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 0-0 Israel
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for France had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawFrance
47.85% (2.022 2.02)24.59% (-0.499 -0.5)27.56% (-1.512 -1.51)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.579 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (1.25 1.25)47.08% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (1.154 1.15)69.31% (-1.143 -1.14)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (1.378 1.38)19.74% (-1.365 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (2.18 2.18)51.77% (-2.17 -2.17)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)30.98% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.551 -0.55)67.28% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Italy 47.85%
    France 27.57%
    Draw 24.58%
ItalyDrawFrance
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.314 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.205 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.195 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.57%

How you voted: Italy vs France

Italy
55.2%
Draw
29.3%
France
15.5%
290
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
League A
France
1-3
Italy
Barcola (1')
Kone (60')
Dimarco (30'), Frattesi (51'), Raspadori (74')
Retegui (49')
> Match Report
Jun 1, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-1
Italy
Umtiti (8'), Griezmann (29' pen.), Dembele (63')
Bonucci (36')
Pellegrini (42')
> Match Report
Sep 1, 2016 8pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-3
France
Pelle (21')
Martial (17'), Giroud (28'), Kurzawa (81')
> Match Report
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-2
France
> Match Report
Jul 9, 2006 7pm
Final
Italy
1-1
France
(Aggregate 1-1 | Italy win 5-3 on penalties)
Materazzi (19')
Zambrotta (5')
Zidane (7' pen.)
Sagnol (12'), Makelele (76'), Malouda (111')
Zidane (110')