World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Sebastien Haller
15'
-
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
43'
Ivory Coast vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
Result
Ivory Coast
70.97%
▼
(-0.32)
Draw
18.92%
▲
(+0.19)
Gambia
10.12%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
40.44%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.11%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
49.89%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
28.12%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
71.88%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 4.5
13.39%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
86.61%
▲
(+0.25)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5
87.19%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
12.81%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
60.87%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
39.13%
▲
(+0.44)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
46.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
53.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
12.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
87.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Ivory Coast
70.97%
Draw
18.92%
Gambia
10.12%
Ivory Coast
2-0
@
14.5%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 14.11% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 70.97%
1-0 @ 14.11% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 70.97%
Draw
1-1
@
8.8%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.92%
0-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.92%
Gambia
0-1
@
4.28%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 10.12%
1-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 10.12%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
-
Muhammed Badamosi
90'+5'
-
Simon Adingra
38'
-
Christian Kouame
45'
-
Karim Konate
78'
-
Seko Fofana
85'