Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 7.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.36%) and 3-0 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botswana in this match.