World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
2 - 0
Somalia

Mohutsiwa (74'), Johnson (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gigli (14'), Suleiman (56')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Botswana and Somalia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-3 Algeria
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Somalia

Last Game: Guinea 0-0 Somalia
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 7.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.36%) and 3-0 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Somalia
76.45% ( -1.13)	16.06% ( 0.4)	7.48% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 38.38% (

2.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

0.98)

46.1% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

0.92)

68.4% (

-0.92)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74% (

-0.04)

10.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.39% (

-0.09)

33.61% (

0.09)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.77% (

2.64)

57.23% (

-2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.83% (

1.41)

89.17% (

-1.41)

Score Analysis

Botswana 76.44%

Somalia 7.48%

Draw 16.06%

Botswana	Draw	Somalia
2-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.7) 1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.59) 3-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 3% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.5% Total : 76.44%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.36% Total : 16.06%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.21% Total : 7.48%