World Cup Gameweek 2
USA
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seattle Stadium
Australia
  • Cameron Burgess 11' goal
  • Alex Freeman 43' goal
  • Antonee Robinson 56' yellowcard
  • Folarin Balogun 89' yellowcard
  • Folarin Balogun 90' yellowcard
  • Chris Richards 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Chris Richards 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Bos 16'
  • yellowcard Jordan Bos 17'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Circati 32'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 88'
  • yellowcard Jacob Italiano 89'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 89'
  • yellowcard Jacob Italiano 90'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 90'

USA vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 2.00am
USA 4 - 1 Paraguay

Australia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 5.00am
Australia 2 - 0 Turkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Australia had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

USA 49.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.18%
Australia 26.43% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.87% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

USA 39.38%
Draw 43.52%
Australia 17.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

USA 63.13% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Australia 30.98% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 31.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 44.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 33.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.26% ▲ (+0.03)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 48.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 10.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 61.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.81%
Under 3.5 96.19%

Score analysis

USA 49.33%
Draw 24.17%
Australia 26.43%
USA
1-0 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 9.9%
Total : 49.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.17%
Australia
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
USA
Oct 15, 2025 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Australia

Form Data

USA 4 - 1 Paraguay
USA 1 - 2 Germany
USA 3 - 2 Senegal
USA 0 - 2 Portugal
USA 2 - 5 Belgium
USA 5 - 1 Uruguay
Australia 2 - 0 Turkey
Switzerland 1 - 1 Australia
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia
Australia 5 - 1 Curacao
Australia 1 - 0 Cameroon
Colombia 3 - 0 Australia

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