Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 2, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cerro 1 - 0 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw has a probability of 27.6% and a win for Central Español has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Central Español win it is 0-1 (8.99%).

Result

Penarol 49.33% (+0.11)
Draw 27.6% (-0.12)
Central Español 23.11% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.56% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.93% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 34.07% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 38.96% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 61.04% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 18.22% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 81.78% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.09% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 90.91% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Penarol 33.87% (+0.17)
Draw 46.36% (-0.14)
Central Español 19.77% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Penarol 55.16% (+0.23)
No Goal 10.27% (-0.20)
Central Español 34.57% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.73% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.83% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.44% (+0.08)
Over 9 40.23% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.27% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 29.95% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.05% (+0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 39.73% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 60.27% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 14.79% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.21% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.07)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 56.28% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 43.72% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 20.05% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 79.95% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 5.13%
Under 2.5 94.87%
Over 3.5 1.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 49.33%
Draw 27.62%
Central Español 23.11%
Penarol
1-0 @ 14.87% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 10.06% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.98% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.61% (+0.07)
Total : 49.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.62%
Central Español
0-1 @ 8.99% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Total : 23.11%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 15, 2026 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Guillermo Gandolfo Antunes 57' goal
  • Guillermo Gandolfo 57' goal
  • Lucas Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 71' goal
  • Lucas Pino 71' goal
  • César Nunes 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Nunes da Costa 76' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco González 67'
  • yellowcard Edison Luciano González Ribeiro 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mülhethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Luciano González 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 84'
  • goal Matias Arezo 90'+3'
  • goal Matías Arezo 90'+3'