Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 2, 2026 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Diego Laxalt 40' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 90'+1' redcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 90'+3' redcard
  • Eric Remedi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Eric Remedi 90'+4' redcard
  • Washington Aguerre 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mariano Aguilera 47'
  • yellowcard César Nunes 53'
  • goal Lucas Pino 90'+11'

Penarol vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cerro 1 - 0 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.03% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Central Español win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 50.72% (+1.40)
Draw 27.03% (-0.58)
Central Español 22.2% (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.09% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.6% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 33.4% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 39.77% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 60.23% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 18.6% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 81.35% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 9.27% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 90.73% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Penarol 35.49% (+1.63)
Draw 44.91% (-1.46)
Central Español 19.6% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Penarol 57.51% (+2.36)
No Goal 9.76% (-0.51)
Central Español 32.73% (-1.85)

Corners

Over 8 52.75% (+1.03)
Equal 8 11.75% (-0.09)
Under 8 35.51% (-0.93)
Over 9 41.24% (+1.02)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.25% (-1.03)
Over 10.5 30.87% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 69.13% (-0.93)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 41.18% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 58.82% (-1.46)
Over 2.5 15.79% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 84.21% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 4.92% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 95.08% (-0.30)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 55.94% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 44.06% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 19.52% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 80.48% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 4.67% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 95.33% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 0.99% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 99.01% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Penarol 50.72%
Draw 27.04%
Central Español 22.2%
Penarol
1-0 @ 14.78% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 10.28% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 10.23% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.14)
Other @ 4.91% (+0.30)
Total : 50.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.51)
2-2 @ 3.82% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.04%
Central Español
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.98% (-0.15)
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 15, 2026 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Guillermo Gandolfo Antunes 57' goal
  • Guillermo Gandolfo 57' goal
  • Lucas Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 71' goal
  • Lucas Pino 71' goal
  • César Nunes 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Nunes da Costa 76' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco González 67'
  • yellowcard Edison Luciano González Ribeiro 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mülhethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Luciano González 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 84'
  • goal Matias Arezo 90'+3'
  • goal Matías Arezo 90'+3'