Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw has a probability of 27.6% and a win for Central Español has a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Central Español win it is 0-1 (8.99%).