Uruguayan Primera Division
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Augusto Cambón 45'+1' goal
  • Alejandro Severo 59' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nongoy 64' yellowcard
  • Santiago Paiva 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mederos 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 52'
  • yellowcard Facundo Milán 68'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cantera 81'
  • yellowcard Franco Mederos 81'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 81'
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Dupont 81'

Cerro vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 4.00pm
Boston River 4 - 1 Cerro

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 37.28%. A draw had a probability of 31.64% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 31.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.1%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 31.08%
Draw 31.64% ▼ (-0.22)
Central Español 37.28% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.66% ▲ (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.89% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 40.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 32.97% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 67.03% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 7.16% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 92.84% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Cerro 21.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 53.18% ▲ (+0.33)
Central Español 25.01% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Cerro 38.83% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 13.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Central Español 47.38% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 43.2% ▲ (+0.41)
Equal 8 11.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 45.07% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 9 32.55% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 9 10.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 56.8% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 10.5 23.61% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 76.39% ▼ (-0.21)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 23.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.27% ▼ (-0.05)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 65.1% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 34.9% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 28.23% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 71.77% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 9.16% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 90.84% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 2.5% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.5% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Cerro 31.08%
Draw 31.65%
Central Español 37.28%
Cerro
1-0 @ 12.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.43%
3-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 31.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.1% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 13.79% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.65%
Central Español
0-1 @ 13.99% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 37.28%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Máximo Alonso 31' goal
  • Sander Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Raúl Tarragona 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Gandulfo 68' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 75' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Rodríguez 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 47'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rijo 60'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lima 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 60'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Carlos 69'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 69'