Uruguayan Primera Division
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Augusto Cambón 45'+1' goal
  • Alejandro Severo 59' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nongoy 64' yellowcard
  • Santiago Paiva 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mederos 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 52'
  • yellowcard Facundo Milán 68'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cantera 81'
  • yellowcard Franco Mederos 81'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 81'
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Dupont 81'

Cerro vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 4.00pm
Boston River 4 - 1 Cerro

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Central Español win with a probability of 37.06%. A draw has a probability of 31.86% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 31.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (14.2%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (12.36%).

Result

Cerro 31.08% (-0.05)
Draw 31.86% (+0.06)
Central Español 37.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.06% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.57% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 40.43% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 32.51% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 67.49% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 14.93% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 85.07% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 6.94% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.06% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cerro 21.84% (-0.02)
Draw 52.85% (+0.04)
Central Español 25.32%

Team To Score First

Cerro 38.88% (+0.08)
No Goal 13.93% (+0.08)
Central Español 47.19% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 42.8%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 45.54% (-0.01)
Over 9 32.24%
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 57.2%
Over 10.5 23.41% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 76.59% (-0.01)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 23.88% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.12% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 6.61% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.68%
Under 3.5 98.32%

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.06% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.88% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.12% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 8.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.2% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.33%
Under 3.5 97.67%

Score analysis

Cerro 31.08%
Draw 31.87%
Central Español 37.06%
Cerro
1-0 @ 12.36% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 31.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 13.93% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.87%
Central Español
0-1 @ 14.15% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Máximo Alonso 31' goal
  • Sander Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Raúl Tarragona 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Gandulfo 68' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 75' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Rodríguez 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 47'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rijo 60'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lima 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 60'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Carlos 69'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 69'