Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 37.28%. A draw had a probability of 31.64% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 31.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.1%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.