Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw has a probability of 26.09% and a win for Santa Fe has a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Santa Fe win it is 0-1 (7.78%).