Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 28, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Santa Fe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 22, 2026 1.30am
Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians

Santa Fe

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 1.00am
Santa Fe 2 - 1 Platense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw has a probability of 26.09% and a win for Santa Fe has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Santa Fe win it is 0-1 (7.78%).

Result

Penarol 49.92% (+1.97)
Draw 26.09% (-0.45)
Santa Fe 23.96% (-1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.44% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 29.56% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 45.34% (+1.47)
Under 2.5 54.66% (-1.47)
Over 3.5 23.38% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 76.62% (-0.73)
Over 4.5 12.69% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 87.31% (-0.51)

First Half Winner

Penarol 33.13% (+1.22)
Draw 46.34% (-0.62)
Santa Fe 20.53% (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Penarol 53.84% (+1.27)
No Goal 8.86% (-0.33)
Santa Fe 37.3% (-0.95)

Corners

Over 8 52.19% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.74% (-0.46)
Under 8 36.06% (+0.61)
Over 9 40.73% (+0.30)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.44)
Under 9 47.81% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 30.45% (+0.67)
Under 10.5 69.55% (-0.66)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 43.5% (+2.08)
Under 1.5 56.5% (-2.08)
Over 2.5 18.94% (+1.49)
Under 2.5 81.06% (-1.49)
Over 3.5 6.71% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 93.29% (-0.66)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5 57.36% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 42.64% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 23.3% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 76.7% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 7.14% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 92.86% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 1.58% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 98.42% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Penarol 49.94%
Draw 26.08%
Santa Fe 23.95%
Penarol
1-0 @ 12.89% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 9.29% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.87% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 4.47% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.7% (+0.67)
Total : 49.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 8.86% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.08%
Santa Fe
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.58)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57% (-0.20)
Total : 23.95%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 10, 2026 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Maximiliano Lovera 18' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Olivera 20' goal
  • Alexis Zapata 44' yellowcard
  • Kilian Toscano 46' yellowcard
  • Andrés Mosquera 46' yellowcard
  • Weimar Asprilla 46' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagúndez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Arezo 59'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 62'
  • yellowcard Gastón Togni 70'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Umpiérrez 77'