Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 28, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Eduardo Darias 24' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 46' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 46' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  46' yellowcard
  • Javier Cabrera  69' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Zapata 13'
  • yellowcard Jáder Obrian 46'
  • yellowcard Yilmar Velásquez 60'
  • yellowcard Luis Palacios 65'
  • yellowcard Iván Scarpeta 74'

Penarol vs Santa Fe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 22, 2026 1.30am
Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians

Santa Fe

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 1.00am
Santa Fe 2 - 1 Platense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 49.69% (-0.31)
Draw 26.19% (+0.16)
Santa Fe 24.12% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.02% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 29.98% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 44.85% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 55.15% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 23.03% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 76.97% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 12.46% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 87.54% (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Penarol 32.64% (-0.46)
Draw 46.9% (+0.55)
Santa Fe 20.46% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Penarol 53.35% (-0.34)
No Goal 9.06% (+0.25)
Santa Fe 37.59% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 52.08% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.06)
Under 8 36.12% (-0.16)
Over 9 40.59% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.07)
Under 9 47.92% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 30.29% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.71% (+0.03)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 42.99% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 57.01% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 18.58% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 81.42% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.55% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.45% (+0.18)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5 57.3% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 42.7% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 23.22% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 76.78% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 7.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 49.69%
Draw 26.2%
Santa Fe 24.12%
Penarol
1-0 @ 13.05% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.54% (-0.17)
Total : 49.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.06% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.2%
Santa Fe
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.58% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.57% (-0.03)
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 10, 2026 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Maximiliano Lovera 18' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Olivera 20' goal
  • Alexis Zapata 44' yellowcard
  • Kilian Toscano 46' yellowcard
  • Andrés Mosquera 46' yellowcard
  • Weimar Asprilla 46' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagúndez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Arezo 59'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 62'
  • yellowcard Gastón Togni 70'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Umpiérrez 77'