Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 44.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.22% and a win for Platense had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%) , while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.