Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Minai had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.