European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 13, 2020 at 5pm UK
PGE Narodowy

Poland U21s
1 - 1
Bulgaria U21s

Bida (66')
Listkowski (18'), Bida (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minchev Dimitrov (41')
Lyaskov (69'), Yurukov (76'), Chandarov (90')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Poland Under-21s and Bulgaria Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria Under-21s win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Poland Under-21s had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Poland Under-21s win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Poland Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
35.15%27.13%37.72%
Both teams to score 50.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07%54.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79%76.21%
Poland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25%29.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.81%
Bulgaria Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88%
Score Analysis
    Poland Under-21s 35.14%
    Bulgaria Under-21s 37.72%
    Draw 27.13%
Poland Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.14%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.72%