Germany U21s
4 - 1
Moldova U21s

Berisha (10'), Nmecha (61' pen.), Schlotterbeck (74'), Kruger (79')
Geiger (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carastoian (84')
Gulceac (40'), Dijinari (60'), Suciu (61')

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Germany Under-21s and Moldova Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 89.56%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 2.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Germany Under-21s	Draw	Moldova Under-21s
89.56%	7.74%	2.7%

Both teams to score 35.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.73%

28.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.9%

49.1%

Germany Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.14%

3.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.56%

16.44%

Moldova Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.11%

62.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.94%

92.06%

Score Analysis

Germany Under-21s 89.55%

Moldova Under-21s 2.7%

Draw 7.74%

Germany Under-21s	Draw	Moldova Under-21s
3-0 @ 13.97% 2-0 @ 12.87% 4-0 @ 11.37% 1-0 @ 7.91% 5-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 6.48% 2-1 @ 5.97% 4-1 @ 5.28% 6-0 @ 4.02% 5-1 @ 3.44% 7-0 @ 1.87% 6-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.38% Total : 89.55%	1-1 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 2.43% 2-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.26% Total : 7.74%	0-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.58% Total : 2.7%