Tottenham Hotspur welcome Pacos de Ferreira to North London on Thursday evening needing to overturn a deficit to remain in the Europa Conference League.
A much-changed team succumbed to a 1-0 defeat in Portugal, resulting in an improved performance being required in front of their own supporters.
Match preview
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After recording wins over Manchester City and Wolverhampton Wanderers without conceding a goal, it is difficult to criticise Spurs' start to the new season.
However, with the competition representing a clear opportunity to win silverware, failing to reach the Europa Conference League group stages would cast a shadow over any progress made under Nuno Espirito Santo.
The Portuguese arrived at Spurs with the task of reclaiming a spot in the Champions League, but ending the club's wait for silverware also features highly on his remit.
While much was made of Spurs failing to have a shot on target in the first leg, there is an argument that the end result could have been far worse with none of the players present having 90 minutes in their legs.
That will change on Thursday night, and Nuno may also take the opportunity to hand a start to Harry Kane with the England international well behind the rest of the group in terms of fitness.
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Despite their fifth-placed finish in Primeira Liga last season, Pacos de Ferreira's triumph in the first leg is not in keeping with their other results in recent weeks.
As well as losing the away leg to Northern Irish side Larne in this competition, Jorge Simao has witnessed his team succumb tamely to Boavista and Estoril.
Pacos de Ferreira will also have had over 30 hours less time to prepare for this contest with travel also having to be incorporated into their plans.
Nevertheless, while everything appears to be against them, Simao and his players know that an early goal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium will heap the pressure on a team who have scored just twice in 270 minutes of football.
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Team News
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While Nuno is expected to make widespread changes once again, he is likely to name a Spurs XI featuring senior players.
Kane could spearhead the attack, with the likes of Pierluigi Gollini, Ryan Sessegnon, Giovani Lo Celso and Bryan Gil all returning to the team.
Cristian Romero should also feature in the middle of the defence, providing that he has shaken off the minor issue which kept him out of the squad on Sunday.
Helder and Lucas Silva are in line to return for Pacos de Ferreira after the two wide players dropped out of the side for the game versus Estoril.
Matchoi Djalo is pushing for a start, having only been named as a substitute for the last two fixtures.
Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Gollini; Doherty, Romero, Davies, Sessegnon; Winks, Skipp, Lo Celso; Moura, Kane, Gil
Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Fonseca, Ramos, Baixinho, Antunes; Helder, Carlos, Eustaquio, Silva; Matchoi, Pedro
We say: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Pacos de Ferreira (Spurs to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Spurs will surely play more of their senior players in this contest compared to the first leg, and you have to think that it will make all the difference.
While the visitors deserve respect, an early Spurs goal should change the course of this tie.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
