Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.