Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Real Betis logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Betis

Gosens (34', 42')
Dodo (43'), Richardson (77'), Pongracic (77'), Kean (84'), Fagioli (87'), Ranieri (99'), Folorunsho (110')
FT
(aet)
Antony (30'), Ezzalzouli (97')
Fornals (43'), Natan (84'), Ruibal (99'), Vieites (120+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League semi-final second leg between Fiorentina and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%).

Result
FiorentinaDrawReal Betis
36.1% (-2.298 -2.3)26.74% (0.318 0.32)37.15% (1.98 1.98)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.966 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-1.256 -1.26)53.3% (1.256 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-1.075 -1.08)74.85% (1.075 1.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-1.926 -1.93)28.36% (1.926 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-2.493 -2.49)64.1% (2.493 2.49)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.57599999999999 0.58)27.74% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.735 0.73)63.31% (-0.736 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 36.1%
    Real Betis 37.14%
    Draw 26.74%
FiorentinaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.382 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.634 0.63)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.51 0.51)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.15 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.259 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.14%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Betis

Fiorentina
46.3%
Draw
23.8%
Real Betis
29.9%
164
Head to Head
May 1, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Betis
2-1
Fiorentina
Ezzalzouli (6'), Antony (64')
Bakambu (6'), Perraud (73')
Ranieri (72')
Parisi (64'), Folorunsho (73'), Adli (84'), Mandragora (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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