Almeria
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (31'), Morlanes (33'), Fernandes (54'), Corpas (56'), Balliu (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bebe (89')
Catena (26'), Antonin (44'), Valentin (49'), Garcia (86')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Rayo Vallecano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
33.36%	29.32%	37.32%

Both teams to score 43.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37%

63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.53%

82.47%

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17%

71.84%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55%

32.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03%

68.97%

Score Analysis

Almeria 33.36%

Rayo Vallecano 37.32%

Draw 29.31%

Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.15% Total : 33.36%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.31%	0-1 @ 12.81% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.32%