UEFA Super Cup
Aug 12, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 20' goal
  • Désiré Doué 61' goal
  • goal Brian Madjo  45'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 51'
  • yellowcard João Gomes 64'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 72'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 50.3% (-0.06)
Draw 22% (+0.06)
Aston Villa 27.65% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.5% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.63% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 15.37% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 64.9% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 35.1% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 42.9% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 57.1% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 27.18% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 72.82% (+0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 55.35% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 44.65% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 29.76% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 70.24% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 13.17% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 86.83% (+0.16)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 65.75% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 34.25% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.82% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 64.18% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 14.89% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 85.11% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 5.14% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 94.86% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 50.31%
Draw 22%
Aston Villa 27.65%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.87% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.68% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 12.8% (-0.15)
Total : 50.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.53% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 22%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.93% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.77% (-0.09)
Total : 27.65%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 15, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 34' goal
  • John McGinn 42' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 57' goal
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 11'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 27'
Champions League
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Desire Doue 39' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 49' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 17'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 35'

Build-up

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