Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.15pm
Rio Ave 0 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Pablo Ruan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw has a probability of 18.63% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.84%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.84%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (3.51%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 72.76% (+0.07)
Draw 18.63% (-0.02)
Nacional 8.59% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.21% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 24.59% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 52.52% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 47.48% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 31.82% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 68.18% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 22.79% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 77.21% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 53.15% (-0.22)
Draw 35.22% (+0.25)
Nacional 11.63% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 71.78% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.24% (+0.11)
Nacional 20.98% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.22% (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.37% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.42% (-0.26)
Over 9 54.02% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 34.78% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 42.91% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 57.09% (-0.27)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 63.07% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 36.93% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 37.03% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 62.97% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 18.47% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 81.53% (+0.46)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 36.95% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 63.05% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 11.35% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 88.65% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 2.49% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 97.51% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 0.55% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.45% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.77%
Draw 18.63%
Nacional 8.6%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 13.96% (+0.22)
1-0 @ 13.84% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 9.64% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 18.37% (-0.43)
Total : 72.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 18.63%
Nacional
0-1 @ 3.51%
1-2 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.45% (-0.02)
Total : 8.6%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 64' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Faye 64' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincão 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 72' goal
  • Pedro Gonçalves 72' goal
  • 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 80' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson Santos 80' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 90'+6' goal
  • Luis Suárez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Witi 65'
  • yellowcard Witiness Quembo 65'
  • goal Alan Herminio Nunez Duarte 76'
  • goal Alan Nuñez 76'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Junior 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jr 80'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Junior 81'
  • yellowcard Andre Sousa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Joao 90'+2'
  • yellowcard André Sousa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 90'+2'
Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 45'+1' goal
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 90' goal
  • Zeno Debast 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 18'
Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Morten Hjulmand 53' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 65' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Franca 45'+2'
  • goal Ruben Macedo 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 6.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Nigel Thomas 36' goal
  • Ulisses 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 16'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 41'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 51'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 57'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 66'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 76'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paulinho 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 53' yellowcard
  • Zouhair Feddal 83' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 22'
  • yellowcard Eber Bessa 57'
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 65'
  • redcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 66'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+1'