Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Guimaraes

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw has a probability of 18.19% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 8.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.8%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.16%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (3.55%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 72.99%
Draw 18.19% (-0.03)
Alverca 8.77% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.58% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.24% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.76% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.79% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.26% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.74% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.68% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.32% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 54.85% (-0.04)
Draw 34.69% (+0.01)
Alverca 10.46% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 72.78% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.36% (-0.01)
Alverca 20.86% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.29% (-0.12)
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 27.16% (+0.13)
Over 9 51.16% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.13% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.71% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 40.34% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 59.66% (+0.09)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 64.49% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 35.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.05%
Under 2.5 60.95%
Over 3.5 20.15% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.85% (+0.01)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 38.18% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 61.82% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 11.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 88.26% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 2.45% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 97.55% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.45% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.99%
Draw 18.18%
Alverca 8.78%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 12.8% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 2.85%
Other @ 20.06% (-0.02)
Total : 72.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.16% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 18.18%
Alverca
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.26%
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.46% (-0.01)
Total : 8.78%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 22, 2026 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 64' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 64' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 65' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 65' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 65' yellowcard
  • Mathis Clairicia 74' yellowcard
  • Mathis Clairicia 75' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 80' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 83' goal
  • goal Pedro Gonçalves 22'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 27'
  • goal Luis Suárez 50'
  • goal Geny Catamo 68'
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 72'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Mangas 82'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 82'
  • goal Pedro Gonçalves 86'
Primeira Liga
Oct 31, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT