Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2026 6.00pm
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca

Alverca vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 8.15pm
Benfica 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 8.15pm
Casa Pia 0 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lawrence Ofori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 34.77% and a draw has a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 0-1 (10.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result

Alverca 36.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.47%
Casa Pia 34.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 32.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 41.34%
Under 2.5 58.66%
Over 3.5 20.99%
Under 3.5 79.01%
Over 4.5 10.52%
Under 4.5 89.48%

First Half Winner

Alverca 25.87%
Draw 48.53%
Casa Pia 25.6%

Team To Score First

Alverca 47.35%
No Goal 9.92%
Casa Pia 42.73%

Corners

Over 8 49.63%
Equal 8 12.95%
Under 8 37.42%
Over 9 37.25%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 50.37%
Over 10.5 26.49%
Under 10.5 73.51%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.21%
Under 3.5 96.79%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 66.02%
Under 0.5 33.98%
Over 1.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.65%
Under 2.5 89.35%
Over 3.5 2.96%
Under 3.5 97.04%

Score analysis

Alverca 36.73%
Draw 28.47%
Casa Pia 34.76%
Alverca
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 28.47%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.76%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Figueiredo 49' goal
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 63' goal
  • Marko Milovanović 75' yellowcard
  • Rhaldney 83' goal
  • Vasco Moreira 87' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 87' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Kessary 90' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Kessary 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal João Marques 1'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 58'
  • yellowcard Dailon Livramento 68'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 69'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 69'
  • yellowcard André Geraldes 82'
  • yellowcard André Geraldes 83'
Primeira Liga
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cassiano 43' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Patrick Sequeira 45'+3' redcard
  • Andre Geraldes 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bastien Meupiyou 50'
  • goal Lincoln 76'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 90'+6'
  • goal Marko Milovanovic 90'+9'