Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lawrence Ofori

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Viseu
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw has a probability of 17.07% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 7.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.66%) and 0-3 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.94%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (3.65%).

Result

Casa Pia 7.29% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 17.07% ▲ (+0.13)
Sporting Lisbon 75.63% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.94% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 26.64% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 2.5 51.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 48.96% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 30.93% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 69.07% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 23.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 33.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Sporting Lisbon 57.98% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 16.5% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Sporting Lisbon 75.56% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 59.28% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.92% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 9 48.15% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 40.72% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 37.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 62.42% ▲ (+0.15)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 7.7% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 92.3% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 1.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 98.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 0.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 87.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 12.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 63.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 36.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 38.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 61.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 20.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 79.23% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 7.28%
Draw 17.07%
Sporting Lisbon 75.64%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 7.28%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.10)
1-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 17.07%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 15.04% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 14.66% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 20.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 75.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 38' goal
  • Geny Catamo 43' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 66' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 78' goal
  • Daniel Bragança 78' goal
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 83' yellowcard
  • Zeno Debast 83' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 83' yellowcard
  • Alisson Santos 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira 37'
  • yellowcard Kaly 37'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 46'
  • yellowcard Xander Severina 69'
  • yellowcard Claudio Mendes 69'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 69'
  • yellowcard Claudio Mendes 70'
  • yellowcard Rafael Brito 85'
Primeira Liga
Aug 8, 2025 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Pablo Roberto 28' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 45' goal
  • Duplexe Tchamba 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Brito 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Max Svensson Rio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 6'
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 12'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 34'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 62'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Daniel Braganca 39' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 80' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nermin Zolotic 36'
  • yellowcard Ruben Kluivert 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2024 8.45pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Sebastian Coates 14' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 23' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 32' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 38' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 43' goal
  • Geny Catamo 64' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 81' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Nunes 13'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Fernando Varela 55' yellowcard
  • Beni Mukendi 45'+12' yellowcard
  • Clayton 58' goal
  • Neto 90' yellowcard
  • Andre Geraldes 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 3'
  • goal Paulinho 61'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 72'