Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sporting Lisbon
Sep 19, 2026 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Arouca
  • Gonçalo Inácio 3' goal
  • Luis Suárez 17' goal
  • Zeno Debast 54' redcard
  • Luis Suárez 61' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 80' yellowcard
  • Maxi Araújo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Inácio 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Espen van Ee 36'
  • yellowcard Javi Sánchez 44'
  • yellowcard José Fontán 51'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 61'
  • goal José Fontán 81'
  • goal Dylan Nandín 87'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 90'+2'

Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.13% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%) , while for a Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 74.44% ▲ (+1.29)
Draw 17.13% ▼ (-0.75)
Arouca 8.46% ▼ (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.79% ▼ (-0.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.88% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 19.12% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 59.29% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 40.71% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 37.21% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 62.79% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 26.81% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 73.19% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 57.07% ▲ (+1.08)
Draw 34.41% ▼ (-0.86)
Arouca 8.52% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 77.57% ▲ (+0.87)
No Goal 5.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Arouca 17.27% ▼ (-0.70)

Corners

Over 8 62.72% ▲ (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.85% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 26.43% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 9 51.25% ▲ (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.28% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 10.5 40.12% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 10.5 59.88% ▼ (-0.48)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 68.46% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 31.54% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 2.5 42.63% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 57.37% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 22.83% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 77.17% ▼ (-0.40)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 37.88% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 0.5 62.12% ▲ (+1.01)
Over 1.5 12.11% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 87.89% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 2.79% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 97.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 0.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 99.38% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 74.44%
Draw 17.14%
Arouca 8.47%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.32)
1-0 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 22.61% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 74.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.33)
0-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 17.14%
Arouca
0-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 8.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Arouca
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon
  • Iván Barbero 48' goal
  • Amadou Dante 70' yellowcard
  • Mateo Flores 70' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozálbez 76' yellowcard
  • Miguel Puche 87' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Suárez 35'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gonçalves 69'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 69'
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 80'
  • yellowcard Alisson Santos 80'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 17, 2025 8.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arouca
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 15, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Arouca
  • Conrad Harder 17' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 62' redcard
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 69' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 74' goal
  • goal Rui Silva 8' (OG)
  • goal Henrique Araujo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard David Simao 79'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Arouca
Sep 13, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon
  • Morlaye Sylla 54' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 60' yellowcard
  • Mamadou N'Diaye 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 24'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 73'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Arouca
Mar 10, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon
  • David Simao 80' yellowcard
  • Nino Galovic 84' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 19'
  • goal Geny Catamo 90'+1'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 8, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Arouca
  • Ousmane Diomande 29' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Ousmane Diomande 42' redcard
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 62' yellowcard
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' goal
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 29'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 52'
  • yellowcard Cristo 58'
  • yellowcard Weverson 60'
  • yellowcard Rafael Fernandes 64'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 74'
  • redcard Rafael Fernandes 87'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 90'+3'

Form Data

Famalicao 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Galatasaray
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Nacional
Rio Ave 0 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Alverca
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Arouca 1 - 2 Santa Clara
Estoril 0 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 2 - 1 Maritimo
Porto 2 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Arouca