Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Galatasaray

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Galatasaray has a probability of 31.82% and a draw has a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Galatasaray win is 1-2 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.29%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 46.01% (+1.94)
Draw 22.17% (-0.20)
Galatasaray 31.82% (-1.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.56% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.58% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 15.42% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 65.66% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 34.34% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 43.86% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 56.14% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 28.75% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 71.25% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 35.31%
Draw 40.5%
Galatasaray 24.19%

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 55.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.95% (-0.03)
Galatasaray 40.88% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.27%
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 36.52%
Over 9 41.31%
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 47.73%
Over 10.5 31.41%
Under 10.5 68.59%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 51.53% (+1.65)
Under 1.5 48.47% (-1.65)
Over 2.5 27.11% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 72.89% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 11.62% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 88.38% (-0.83)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 68.41% (-1.50)
Under 0.5 31.59% (+1.49)
Over 1.5 40.23% (-1.47)
Under 1.5 59.77% (+1.47)
Over 2.5 18.83% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 81.17% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 7.91% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.09% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.01%
Draw 22.18%
Galatasaray 31.81%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 6.66% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 5.11% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.29% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.27)
Other @ 11.2% (+0.81)
Total : 46.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 22.18%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.31)
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.21)
Other @ 7.49% (-0.35)
Total : 31.81%