Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.15pm
Benfica 2 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 2 - 1 Maritimo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 32.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Estoril Praia 41.11% (-0.42)
Draw 26.33% (+0.58)
Arouca 32.56% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.26% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.4% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 23.6% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 53.84% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 46.16% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 33.1% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 66.87% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.75% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.25% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 32.74% (+0.43)
Draw 45.76% (+0.09)
Arouca 21.5% (-0.52)

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 54.21% (-0.25)
No Goal 7.44% (+0.31)
Arouca 38.35% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.9% (+1.44)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.51)
Under 8 28.67% (-0.93)
Over 9 48.09% (+1.89)
Equal 9 11.82% (-0.43)
Under 9 40.1% (-1.44)
Over 10.5 36.91% (+2.14)
Under 10.5 63.09% (-2.15)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 42.77% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 57.23% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 19.1% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 80.9% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 7.28% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.72% (+0.04)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 67.33% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 32.67% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 35.73% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 64.27% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 14.99% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 85.01% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 41.12%
Draw 26.33%
Arouca 32.57%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 6.98% (-0.07)
Total : 41.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.03)
Total : 26.33%
Arouca
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.75% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.13)
Other @ 5.24% (+0.04)
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2026 6.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Iván Barbero 13' goal
  • José Fontán 45'+2' goal
  • Pablo Gozálbez 55' goal
  • Miguel Puche 77' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 83' yellowcard
  • Mateo Flores 90' yellowcard
  • Fally Mayulu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Xeka 3'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 32'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marqués 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Carvalho 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marqués 66'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 66'
  • yellowcard Peixinho 74'
Primeira Liga
Nov 7, 2025 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 13' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 67'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Fabricio Garcia 21' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 30' goal
  • Pedro Amaral 40' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 42' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 64' goal
  • Joel Robles 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 90' goal
  • Michel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Araujo 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 36'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Rafik Guitane 3' goal
  • Joao Marques 50' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mujica 8'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 50'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Tiago Esgaio 4' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 10' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 20' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 21' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 37' redcard
  • Cristo 57' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 73' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+6' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 41'
  • goal Joao Marques 49'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Gomes 90'+10'