Primeira Liga
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Espen van Ee 44' goal
  • Iván Barbero 55' goal
  • Dylan Nandín 75' yellowcard
  • Javi Sánchez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Martín Tejón 27'
  • yellowcard Raphael Guzzo 44'

Arouca vs Maritimo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 2 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Maritimo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.30pm
Maritimo 2 - 2 Viseu
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Raphael Guzzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 40.34% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 27.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Maritimo 32.64% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 24.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 51.64% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 48.36% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.32% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 46.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Maritimo 25.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Arouca 47.94% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Maritimo 44.69% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 47.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 40.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 36.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 52.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 26.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 73.12% ▼ (-0.07)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 40.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 82.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5 68.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 31.97% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.61% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 65.39% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 13.16% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 86.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.8% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Arouca 40.35%
Draw 27.06%
Maritimo 32.64%
Arouca
1-0 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 40.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.06%
Maritimo
0-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 34' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Andre Vidigal 13' goal
  • goal Antony 44'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2022 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Abdoulaye Ba 17' yellowcard
  • Arsenio Nunes 25' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Alipour 7'
  • goal Diederrick Joel 27'
  • yellowcard Henrique 47'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 51'
  • redcard Henrique 56'
  • goal Ali Alipour 79'
  • yellowcard Ali Alipour 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Andre Vidigal 7' yellowcard
  • Ricardinho Viana 35' goal
  • Xadas 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rossi 48' yellowcard
  • Ali Alipour 45'+11' goal
  • Andre Vidigal 87' redcard
  • Vitor Costa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Bukia 8'
  • yellowcard Leandro Miguel Pereira Da Silva 36'
  • yellowcard Tiago Filipe Alves Araujo 47'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 61'
  • goal Andre Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 85'
  • yellowcard Oday Dabbagh 90'+5'
Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2017 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Junior Zainadine 41' goal
  • Alhassane Keita 62' goal
  • Fransergio 73' goal
  • goal Sami 20'
  • yellowcard Jubal 80'
Primeira Liga
Oct 30, 2016 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Crivellaro 81' yellowcard
  • Walter Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Walter Gonzalez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio China 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick 49'