Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Maritimo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 2 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Maritimo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.30pm
Maritimo 2 - 2 Viseu
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Raphael Guzzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Maritimo has a probability of 32.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Maritimo win is 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Arouca 40.55% (+0.10)
Draw 26.96% (+0.04)
Maritimo 32.49% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.86% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.51% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.49% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.74% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.26% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.69% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.31% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.76% (-0.02)
Draw 46.41% (+0.01)
Maritimo 25.83% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Arouca 48.08% (-0.25)
No Goal 7.37% (+0.03)
Maritimo 44.55% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 47.65% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.02)
Under 8 40.5% (+0.22)
Over 9 36.5% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.02)
Under 9 52.35% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 26.81% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 73.19% (+0.15)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 40.73% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 59.27% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 17.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.34% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-0.02)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5 67.84% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.16% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.17% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.83% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Arouca 40.54%
Draw 26.96%
Maritimo 32.49%
Arouca
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.14% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 6%
Total : 40.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 26.96%
Maritimo
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 4% (-0.04)
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 34' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Andre Vidigal 13' goal
  • goal Antony 44'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2022 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Abdoulaye Ba 17' yellowcard
  • Arsenio Nunes 25' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Alipour 7'
  • goal Diederrick Joel 27'
  • yellowcard Henrique 47'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 51'
  • redcard Henrique 56'
  • goal Ali Alipour 79'
  • yellowcard Ali Alipour 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Andre Vidigal 7' yellowcard
  • Ricardinho Viana 35' goal
  • Xadas 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rossi 48' yellowcard
  • Ali Alipour 45'+11' goal
  • Andre Vidigal 87' redcard
  • Vitor Costa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Bukia 8'
  • yellowcard Leandro Miguel Pereira Da Silva 36'
  • yellowcard Tiago Filipe Alves Araujo 47'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 61'
  • goal Andre Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 85'
  • yellowcard Oday Dabbagh 90'+5'
Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2017 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Junior Zainadine 41' goal
  • Alhassane Keita 62' goal
  • Fransergio 73' goal
  • goal Sami 20'
  • yellowcard Jubal 80'
Primeira Liga
Oct 30, 2016 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Crivellaro 81' yellowcard
  • Walter Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Walter Gonzalez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio China 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick 49'