Taca de Portugal
Oct 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Pedras Rubras
  • 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • goal Seba Pérez 73'
  • redcard 83'

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alpendorada

All competitions

Casa Pia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Alpendorada had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Alpendorada win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Alpendorada 31.41%
Draw 25.88% ▼ (-0.11)
Casa Pia 42.71% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.94% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 27.06% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 49.21% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 50.79% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 27.45% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 72.55% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 4.5 15.66% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 4.5 84.34% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Alpendorada 25.24%
Draw 46.33%
Casa Pia 28.43%

Team To Score First

Alpendorada 41.07% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 8.05% ▼ (-0.17)
Casa Pia 50.88% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.84%
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 34.83%
Over 9 42.66%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 46.16%
Over 10.5 32.47%
Under 10.5 67.53%

Alpendorada Goals

Over 1.5 31.48% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 68.52% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 11.87% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.13% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.09)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 72.05% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 27.95% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 40.23% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 59.77% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 2.5 17.98% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 82.02% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 6.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 93.73% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Alpendorada 31.42%
Draw 25.88%
Casa Pia 42.71%
Alpendorada
1-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 31.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.88%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 42.71%