Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 6.00pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Benjamin Pauwels

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 6.00pm
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Braga
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Gonçalo Paciência

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Clara win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw has a probability of 28.22% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (8.92%).

Result

Casa Pia 23.61% ▲ (+0.85)
Draw 28.22% ▲ (+0.50)
Santa Clara 48.18% ▼ (-1.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.66% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 34.34% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 39.1% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 60.9% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 80.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 17.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 47.22% ▲ (+2.12)
Santa Clara 35.1% ▼ (-1.91)

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 31.67% ▼ (-0.34)
No Goal 11% ▲ (+0.20)
Santa Clara 57.33% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 53.02% ▲ (+4.65)
Equal 8 12.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 8 34.58% ▼ (-4.32)
Over 9 40.86% ▲ (+4.52)
Equal 9 12.17% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 46.98% ▼ (-4.65)
Over 10.5 29.95% ▲ (+4.03)
Under 10.5 70.05% ▼ (-4.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 20.71% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 79.29% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 5.83% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 2.5 94.17% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 1.23% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 98.77% ▼ (-0.21)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5 73.51% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 0.5 26.49% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 1.5 39.33% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 60.67% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 16.05% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 83.95% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 5.68% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 23.61%
Draw 28.21%
Santa Clara 48.18%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 23.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 11% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 28.21%
Santa Clara
0-1 @ 14.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.40)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 48.18%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Apr 18, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Lawrence Ofori 63' yellowcard
  • Clau Mendes 63' yellowcard
  • Seba Pérez 73' yellowcard
  • Dailon Livramento 73' yellowcard
  • Korede Osundina 86' yellowcard
  • Korede Osundina 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Calila 67'
  • yellowcard Darlan 67'
  • yellowcard Brenner 74'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernando 74'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernando 75'
  • yellowcard Welinton Torrão 85'
Primeira Liga
Dec 6, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Frederico Venancio 11' goal
  • Serginho 25' yellowcard
  • 25' yellowcard
  • Adriano 35' yellowcard
  • Sidney Lima 40' yellowcard
  • 40' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • José Luís Rocha Tavares 87' yellowcard
  • Diogo Calila 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 5'
  • yellowcard Xander Severina 73'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Perez 88'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Livolant 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Sao Miguel
  • MT 48' goal
  • Serginho 57' goal
  • Adriano 59' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lopes 71' yellowcard
  • goal Nuno Moreira 43'
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Jose Fonte 73' yellowcard
  • Max Svensson Rio 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Batista 78' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 84' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Rocha 28'
  • goal Vinicius Lopes 57'
  • yellowcard Safira 61'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 78'
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 79'
  • yellowcard Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos 90'+4'
  • goal Ricardo Antonio 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Yuki Soma 75' goal
  • Clayton 90'+4' goal
  • goal Gabriel Silva 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio de São Miguel
  • Kennedy Boateng 32' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Antonio 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Neto 25'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista 61'
  • yellowcard Afonso Taira 84'