Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.45pm
Braga 1 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 6.00pm
Casa Pia 1 - 4 Porto
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Henrique Araújo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 28.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

Estoril Praia 44.05% (+0.20)
Draw 27.48% (+0.09)
Casa Pia 28.43% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.88% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 30.12% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 44.68% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 55.32% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 23.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.22% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.58% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 87.42% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 35.73% (+1.22)
Draw 42.61% (-0.72)
Casa Pia 21.66% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 55.67% (+1.95)
No Goal 9.41% (+0.17)
Casa Pia 34.92% (-2.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.52% (+1.74)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.04)
Under 8 25.08% (-1.70)
Over 9 51.31% (+1.58)
Equal 9 12.21% (+0.17)
Under 9 36.48% (-1.74)
Over 10.5 39.42% (+1.25)
Under 10.5 60.58% (-1.25)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 39.76% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 60.24% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.21% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 83.79% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-0.19)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 62.01% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 37.99% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 27.24% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 72.76% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 8.84% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 91.16% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 2.34% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.66% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 44.05%
Draw 27.48%
Casa Pia 28.44%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.55% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.06% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.37% (+0.21)
Total : 44.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 27.48%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 9.13% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.26% (-0.09)
Total : 28.44%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Xeka 69' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Costa 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dailon Livramento 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Rosas 69'
  • yellowcard Pedro Rosas 70'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Prieto 76'
  • yellowcard João Marques 86'
  • yellowcard João Marques 87'
Primeira Liga
Oct 3, 2025 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 29, 2025 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 7' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 43' goal
  • Iyad Mohamed 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 48' redcard
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 21'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 64'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 82'
  • redcard Wagner Pina 83'
  • goal Joao Carvalho 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Helder Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Garcia 40' yellowcard
  • Kevin Boma 61' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 61' yellowcard
  • goal Telasco Segovia 56'
  • goal Cassiano 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 68'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2024 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 72'
  • goal 78'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Alejandro Marques 1' goal
  • Joao Marques 14' yellowcard
  • Rafik Guitane 24' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomes 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Gomes 73' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Neto 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 36'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 82'
  • yellowcard Beni Mukendi 90'+3'