Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.15pm
Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Samu

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Moreirense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw has a probability of 25.24% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (6.33%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.13% (-0.20)
Draw 25.24% (+0.13)
Casa Pia 21.63% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.31% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 26.13% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 50.08% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 49.92% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 27.91% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 72.09% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 16.29% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 83.71% (+0.46)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.51% (-0.04)
Draw 45.78% (+0.04)
Casa Pia 15.71% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 61.71% (+0.10)
No Goal 7.83% (+0.10)
Casa Pia 30.46% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 54.4% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 33.74% (+0.24)
Over 9 42.63% (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.77% (-0.02)
Under 9 45.6% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 31.91% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 68.09% (+0.18)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 48.95% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 51.05% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 23.08% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 76.92% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 8.92% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 91.08% (+0.27)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 56.49% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.51% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.98% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 76.02% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.34% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.66% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.46% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.54% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.12%
Draw 25.25%
Casa Pia 21.63%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.61% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.59% (-0.26)
Total : 53.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.83% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.25%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.47% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.13% (-0.08)
Total : 21.63%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Oumar Camara 60' yellowcard
  • Zeega 60' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 60' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Korede Osundina 46'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 69'
  • yellowcard Abdu Conté 74'
  • goal Gaizka Larrazabal 86'
  • yellowcard José Fonte 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Abdu Dafe 90'+5'
  • yellowcard José Fonte 90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yassin Oukili 30' yellowcard
  • Dailon Rocha 41' yellowcard
  • David 63' yellowcard
  • David 64' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 9'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Nogueira 41'
  • yellowcard Maga 41'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 22' yellowcard
  • Mikel Villanueva 35' yellowcard
  • Vando Baifas Felix 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 50' goal
  • Joao Mendes 78' yellowcard
  • Umaro Embalo 79' goal
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 27'
  • yellowcard Max Svensson Rio 52'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 60'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Sequeira 79'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 39' goal
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 45' yellowcard
  • Nermin Zolotic 51' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rui Manuel Gomes Borges 55'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Andre Andre 51' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton 4'
  • goal Pablo Roberto 35'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • yellowcard Neto 62'
  • yellowcard Clayton 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 57' yellowcard
  • Vasco Fernandes 80' yellowcard
  • Artur Serobyan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 36'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 63'