Primeira Liga
Gameweek
5
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Gustavo Silva
62'
-
Tiago Margarido
66'
-
Tiago Margarido
67'
-
Thiago Balieiro
86'
-
Ivan Mandić
62'
-
JP
72'
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Ffotojet-2026-08-12t203121-798-6a7cca22aa689252815523.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.89% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes
53.42%
Draw
24.89%
Casa Pia
21.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.26%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
26.4%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
49.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
50.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
27.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
72.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
16.34%
Under 4.5
83.66%
First Half Winner
Vitoria de Guimaraes
37.45%
Draw
45.89%
Casa Pia
16.66%
Team To Score First
Vitoria de Guimaraes
61.66%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
7.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Casa Pia
30.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
56.66%
Equal 8
11.58%
Under 8
31.76%
Over 9
44.97%
Equal 9
11.7%
Under 9
43.34%
Over 10.5
34.13%
Under 10.5
65.87%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 1.5
48.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
51.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
23.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
76.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
8.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
91.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
56.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
43.84%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
23.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
76.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
8.19%
Under 2.5
91.81%
Over 3.5
2.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Vitoria de Guimaraes
53.42%
Draw
24.89%
Casa Pia
21.68%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0
@
12.14%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 53.42%
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 53.42%
Draw
1-1
@
11.17%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.89%
0-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.89%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
6.39%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 21.68%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
24
-
Joao Mendes
22'
-
Mikel Villanueva
35'
-
Vando Baifas Felix
36'
-
Joao Mendes
50'
-
Joao Mendes
78'
-
Umaro Embalo
79'
-
Andrian Kraev
27'
-
Max Svensson Rio
52'
-
Duplexe Tchamba
60'
-
Joao Pedro Goulart Silva
73'
-
Patrick Sequeira
79'
-
Jose Fonte
90'+7'