Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 8.30pm
Braga 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Fran Navarro

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 3.30pm
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Samu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw has a probability of 22.46% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it is 0-1 (5.24%).

Result

Braga 60.99% (-0.52)
Draw 22.46% (+0.16)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 16.55% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43%
Under 1.5 24.57%
Over 2.5 51.55%
Under 2.5 48.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.91% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.09% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.51% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.49% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Braga 48.32% (-0.08)
Draw 36.52% (+0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 15.16% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Braga 67.37% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.93% (+0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.7%

Corners

Over 8 45.59% (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.31%
Under 8 42.1% (+0.06)
Over 9 34.19% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 54.41% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 24.5% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 75.5% (+0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 55.02% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 44.98% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 28.12% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 71.88% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 11.79% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 88.21% (+0.13)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 50.64% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 49.36% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 19.05% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 80.95% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 5.45% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 94.55% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.29% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.71% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Braga 60.99%
Draw 22.47%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 16.56%
Braga
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.04)
Other @ 11.63% (-0.13)
Total : 60.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.47%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 5.24% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.49% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.31% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Total : 16.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 17' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 32' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 57' goal
  • Gabriel Moscardo 69' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 69' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Lelo 90' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Lelo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Leon Barisic 19' (OG)
  • goal Gustavo Silva 54'
  • yellowcard A. Ndoye 61'
  • yellowcard Oumar Camara 61'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 77'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Nogueira 77'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Nogueira 78'
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 84'
Taca da Liga
Jan 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Oumar Camara 54' yellowcard
  • Samu 54' yellowcard
  • Samu 59' yellowcard
  • Gustavo 78' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 78' yellowcard
  • Matija Mitrovic 82' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 83' goal
  • goal Mario Dorgeles 17'
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 60'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 74'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 87'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 90'+11'
Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Toni Borevkovic 4' yellowcard
  • Nelson Oliveira 37' yellowcard
  • Luis Freire 79' yellowcard
  • Beni Mukendi 83' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 85' yellowcard
  • Mikel Villanueva 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bright Arrey-Mbi 42'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 56'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Oct 31, 2024 6.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio AXA
  • Sikou Niakate 22' goal
  • Joao Ferreira 41' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 52' yellowcard
  • Bruma 75' goal
  • goal Nuno Santos 10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 13'
  • yellowcard Charles 18'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 45'
  • yellowcard Mikel Villanueva 63'
  • redcard Toni Borevkovic 65'
  • yellowcard Alberto Oliveira Baio 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 37' yellowcard
  • Bright Arrey-Mbi 56' redcard
  • Sikou Niakate 71' yellowcard
  • Joao Ferreira 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 17'
  • goal Joao Mendes 52'
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 57'
  • goal Tomas Ribeiro 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 74'