Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Pedro Rosas 61' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 24'
  • yellowcard Aranha 61'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 62'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Alonso Martín 71'

Casa Pia vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2026 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Casa Pia

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Nile John

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 31.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 29.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Moreirense 39.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.51%
Under 1.5 32.49%
Over 2.5 41.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 58.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 21.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.46% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 88.92% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 24.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 47.33%
Moreirense 27.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 43.16% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 10.56%
Moreirense 46.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 40.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 48.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 30.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 59.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 22.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 77.57% ▲ (+0.03)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 69.21%
Under 0.5 30.79%
Over 1.5 34.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 31.32%
Draw 29.36%
Moreirense 39.33%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 31.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.36%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.19%
0-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 39.33%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 3' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 4' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 40' goal
  • Dailon Livramento 66' yellowcard
  • Iyad Mohamed 66' yellowcard
  • Dailon Livramento 67' yellowcard
  • Iyad Mohamed 67' yellowcard
  • João Marques 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rosas 83' yellowcard
  • Tiago Morais 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida 46'
  • yellowcard Alan de Souza Guimarães 62'
  • yellowcard Nile John 70'
  • yellowcard Landerson 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 70'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 87'
Primeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan 12' goal
  • Alan 26' goal
  • Alan 32' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 72' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 90' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Max Svensson Rio 50'
  • yellowcard Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 76'
  • goal Cassiano 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Duplexe Tchamba 58' goal
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 70' goal
  • Andre Geraldes 76' yellowcard
  • Andrian Kraev 77' yellowcard
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 81' goal
  • Patrick Sequeira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ruben Kluivert 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 35'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 51'
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Beni Mukendi 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Franco 33'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 61'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 62'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Matheus Aias 14' goal
  • Joao Camacho 40' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Soma 18'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 26'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 35'
  • goal Joao Nunes 39'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 56'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 90'+5'