Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 8.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 8.30pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Benjamin Pauwels

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 34.92% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 0-1 (10.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 38.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 26.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Casa Pia 34.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 12.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.07% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 28.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 45.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Casa Pia 26.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 47.09% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 8.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Casa Pia 44.65% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 59.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 47.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 40.62% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 36.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 63.99% ▲ (+0.09)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 35.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 38.2%
Draw 26.85%
Casa Pia 34.92%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 38.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.85%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 10.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.92%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2026 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
  • Rodrigo Pinho 12' yellowcard
  • Abraham Marcus 37' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 45'+3' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 67' yellowcard
  • Alex Sola 67' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 75' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 76' goal
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 83' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 83' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Fonte 39'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 39'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 40'
  • yellowcard João Marques 57'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 57'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 77'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 78'
Primeira Liga
Nov 1, 2025 6.00pm
3
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Jose Fonte 23' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 37' goal
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 76' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Henrique Martins Pereira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 23'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lima 29'
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 89'
  • yellowcard Issiar Drame 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • goal Henrique Martins Pereira 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 8.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Kikas 57' goal
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Andre Luiz 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 77'
  • goal Yuki Soma 86'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 90'+4'