Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Arouca
Oct 11, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora

Arouca vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Arouca
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Viseu
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result

Arouca 38.92%
Draw 27.72%
Estrela Amadora 33.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.62%
Under 1.5 26.38%
Over 2.5 48.79%
Under 2.5 51.21%
Over 3.5 27%
Under 3.5 73%
Over 4.5 14.2%
Under 4.5 85.8%

First Half Winner

Arouca 26.36%
Draw 48.14%
Estrela Amadora 25.5%

Team To Score First

Arouca 49.65%
No Goal 7.84%
Estrela Amadora 42.51%

Corners

Over 8 55.4%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 33.16%
Over 9 43.96%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 44.6%
Over 10.5 33.43%
Under 10.5 66.57%

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 38.6%
Under 1.5 61.4%
Over 2.5 15.28%
Under 2.5 84.72%
Over 3.5 5.03%
Under 3.5 94.97%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 67.75%
Under 0.5 32.25%
Over 1.5 33.78%
Under 1.5 66.22%
Over 2.5 12.52%
Under 2.5 87.48%
Over 3.5 3.59%
Under 3.5 96.41%

Score analysis

Arouca 38.91%
Draw 27.72%
Estrela Amadora 33.33%
Arouca
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 38.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.72%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 33.33%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Arouca
Apr 19, 2026 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Tiago Esgaio 46' goal
  • Pedro Santos 61' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 61' yellowcard
  • Mateo Flores 69' yellowcard
  • Mateo Flores 70' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Miguel Puche 75' yellowcard
  • Matías Rocha 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Patrick 23'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 70'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 70'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 70'
  • yellowcard Paulo Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 80'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 81'
Primeira Liga
Estrela Amadora
Dec 7, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Arouca
  • Kikas 29' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 34' goal
  • Oumar Ngom 45' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Pinto 24'
  • redcard Alex Pinto 28'
  • yellowcard Espen van Ee 51'
  • yellowcard Nais Djouahra 51'
  • goal Taichi Fukui 59'
  • redcard Taichi Fukui 68'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Hyun-ju Lee 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Arouca
Apr 19, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Alfonso Trezza 5' goal
  • Jose Fontan 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alex Pinto 56' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandin 67' goal
  • Pedro Santos 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sacalumbo 75'
  • yellowcard Ferro 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Estrela Amadora
Dec 9, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 37' yellowcard
  • Danilo Veiga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 58' goal
  • Kikas 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 68' goal
  • Manuel Keliano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 4'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 6'
  • yellowcard Jason 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Arouca
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Matias Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 40'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 44'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca
  • Kialonda Gaspar 11' goal
  • Dida 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 40'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 66'
  • goal Jason 77'
  • goal Francisco Montero 80'
  • goal Andre Bukia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 90'+7'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 2 Santa Clara
Estoril 0 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 2 - 1 Maritimo
Porto 2 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Viseu
Rio Ave 3 - 3 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 1 Braga
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Famalicao
Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela Amadora
Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora