Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
Sep 10, 2026 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca
Braga
  • Stefan Leković 27' yellowcard
  • Ianis Stoica 45' goal
  • Ianis Stoica 56' goal
  • Luan Patrick 85' yellowcard
  • goal Gabri Martínez 5'
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 77'

Estrela Amadora vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Famalicao
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Pau Víctor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 22.5% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 25.65% ▼ (-0.55)
Braga 51.81% ▲ (+0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% ▲ (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.68% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 29.32% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 45.37% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 54.63% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 24.15% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 75.85% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 13.71% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 4.5 86.29% ▼ (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 15.73% ▲ (+1.30)
Draw 43.55% ▼ (-1.75)
Braga 40.72% ▲ (+0.47)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 29.37% ▲ (+0.82)
No Goal 9% ▼ (-0.37)
Braga 61.63% ▼ (-0.44)

Corners

Over 8 49.09% ▼ (-2.18)
Equal 8 12.36% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 8 38.56% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 9 37.33% ▼ (-2.31)
Equal 9 11.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 50.91% ▲ (+2.18)
Over 10.5 27.06% ▼ (-2.23)
Under 10.5 72.94% ▲ (+2.22)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 22.02% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 77.98% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 6.32% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 93.68% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 1.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.53% ▲ (+0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 23.25% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 45.27% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 54.73% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 2.5 20.8% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 79.2% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 3.5 8.03% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 91.97% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 22.51%
Draw 25.65%
Braga 51.81%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.65%
Braga
0-1 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 51.81%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Braga
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Estrela Amadora
  • Gabri Martínez 15' goal
  • Leonardo Lelo 46' yellowcard
  • Gorby 68' yellowcard
  • António Gil 80' yellowcard
  • João Carvalho 80' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 84' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 85' yellowcard
  • Pau Víctor 90' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Leković 5'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Antonetti 68'
  • yellowcard Robinho 68'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 77'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 79'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 90'+1'
  • goal Stefan Leković 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Estrela Amadora
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Braga
  • Kikas 16' goal
  • Guilherme Montóia 56' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 56' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral  69' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 73' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 79' yellowcard
  • Ianis Stoica 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson Souza de Jesus 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 12'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 46'
  • goal Fran Navarro 51'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 68'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Estrela Amadora
Jan 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Braga
  • Leonel Bucca 84' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 87' yellowcard
  • Manu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 79'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Braga
Aug 11, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estrela Amadora
  • Amine El Ouazzani 53' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 86' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Keliano 45'
  • goal Kikas 80'
  • yellowcard Nani 86'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 90'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Braga
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estrela Amadora
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 69' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 82' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Braga
  • Leo Cordeiro 17' yellowcard
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Jean Felipe 79' goal
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 13'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 44'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 49'
  • goal Simon Banza 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 75'
  • yellowcard Serdar Saatci 78'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Famalicao
Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela Amadora
Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Estrela Amadora 4 - 2 Al-Nassr
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 CF Os Belenenses
Alverca 1 - 2 Braga
Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Austria Vienna 0 - 0 Braga
Braga 2 - 0 Austria Vienna
Braga 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Dinamo Minsk 0 - 0 Braga