Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Sep 10, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Famalicao
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Pau Víctor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw has a probability of 26.19% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-0 (7.79%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 22.97% (-1.34)
Draw 26.19% (-0.10)
Braga 50.87% (+1.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.78% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.36% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 29.64% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 44.81% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 55.19% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 23.54% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.46% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.22% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 86.78% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 14.44%
Draw 45.3%
Braga 40.25%

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 28.56% (-0.05)
No Goal 9.37% (+0.15)
Braga 62.07% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 51.27%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 36.71%
Over 9 39.63%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 48.73%
Over 10.5 29.28%
Under 10.5 70.72%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 22.43% (-1.34)
Under 1.5 77.57% (+1.33)
Over 2.5 6.51% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 93.49% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 1.52% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.48% (+0.25)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 76.19% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 23.81% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 44.55% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 55.45% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 20.07% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 79.93% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 7.53% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 92.47% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 22.96%
Draw 26.2%
Braga 50.88%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 5.51% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 3.83% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.49% (-0.25)
Total : 22.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 9.37% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 26.2%
Braga
0-1 @ 12.52% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 9.84% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 9.13% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.26% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.32% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 7.5% (+0.50)
Total : 50.88%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martínez 15' goal
  • Leonardo Lelo 46' yellowcard
  • Gorby 68' yellowcard
  • António Gil 80' yellowcard
  • João Carvalho 80' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 84' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 85' yellowcard
  • Pau Víctor 90' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Leković 5'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Antonetti 68'
  • yellowcard Robinho 68'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 77'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 79'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 90'+1'
  • goal Stefan Leković 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
  • Kikas 16' goal
  • Guilherme Montóia 56' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 56' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral  69' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 73' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 79' yellowcard
  • Ianis Stoica 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson Souza de Jesus 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 12'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 46'
  • goal Fran Navarro 51'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 68'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 84' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 87' yellowcard
  • Manu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 79'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Amine El Ouazzani 53' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 86' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Keliano 45'
  • goal Kikas 80'
  • yellowcard Nani 86'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 90'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 69' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 82' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Cordeiro 17' yellowcard
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Jean Felipe 79' goal
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 13'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 44'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 49'
  • goal Simon Banza 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 75'
  • yellowcard Serdar Saatci 78'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'