Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 6.00pm
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca

Alverca vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.15pm
Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Fran Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw has a probability of 29.11% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Alverca win it is 1-0 (9.66%).

Result

Alverca 24.87% (+0.22)
Draw 29.11% (+0.02)
Braga 46.02% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.35% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.26% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 35.74% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 38.01% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 61.99% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 18.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.8% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.74% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Alverca 16.02% (-0.02)
Draw 48.71%
Braga 35.27% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Alverca 30.97% (-0.14)
No Goal 12.09% (+0.06)
Braga 56.94% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 38.23% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.05% (+0.02)
Under 8 49.72% (+0.02)
Over 9 27.73% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.5%
Under 9 61.77% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 19.28% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 80.72% (+0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 21.09% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 78.91% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 5.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.72% (-0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 28.76% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 37.19% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 62.81% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 14.94% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 85.06% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.75% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.25% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Alverca 24.87%
Draw 29.1%
Braga 46.01%
Alverca
1-0 @ 9.66% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 5.56% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.63% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.26% (+0.04)
Total : 24.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 12.09% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 29.1%
Braga
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.73% (-0.04)
Total : 46.01%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Vitor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Vítor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 23' goal
  • Pau Victor Delgado 30' goal
  • Pau Víctor 30' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 45' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 74' yellowcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 74' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 79' goal
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 46'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 46'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 46'
  • yellowcard Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 46'
  • yellowcard José Julián Martínez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 46'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 70'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 81'
Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT