Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 27' goal
  • Ian Luccas 45'+3' yellowcard
  • 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Bajrami 40'
  • goal Pau Víctor 50'
  • goal Pau Víctor 57'
  • yellowcard Pau Víctor 66'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 66'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 87'
  • yellowcard Gustaf Lagerbielke 87'
  • yellowcard Gustaf Lagerbielke 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+1'

Alverca vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.15pm
Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Pau Víctor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.92% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Alverca win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 24.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 28.92%
Braga 46.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 38.11%
Under 2.5 61.89%
Over 3.5 18.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.63% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Alverca 15.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 49.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Braga 35.13% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Alverca 31.95% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 12.1%
Braga 55.95% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 41.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 46.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 30.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 58.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 21.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 78.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 21.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Alverca 24.83%
Draw 28.93%
Braga 46.32%
Alverca
1-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.1%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.93%
Braga
0-1 @ 13.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 46.32%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Vitor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Vítor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 23' goal
  • Pau Victor Delgado 30' goal
  • Pau Víctor 30' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 45' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 74' yellowcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 74' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 79' goal
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 46'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 46'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 46'
  • yellowcard Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 46'
  • yellowcard José Julián Martínez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 46'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 70'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 81'
Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT