Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2026 6.00pm
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca

Alverca vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 8.15pm
Famalicao 1 - 4 Alverca
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 8.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 28.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Alverca 44.27% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 27.36%
Arouca 28.33% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.53%
Under 1.5 29.47%
Over 2.5 45.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Alverca 32.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 46.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Arouca 20.6% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Alverca 55.82% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 8.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Arouca 35.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 43.82% ▼ (-0.28)
Equal 8 11.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 44.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 9 32.98% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 10.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 56.18% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 10.5 23.84% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.21)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 39.72% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 60.28% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 15.88% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 84.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 27.81% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 72.19% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 9.02% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.98% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Alverca 44.28%
Draw 27.37%
Arouca 28.33%
Alverca
1-0 @ 11.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 44.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.37%
Arouca
0-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 28.33%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2026 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Kaiky Marques Naves 9' goal
  • Marko Milovanović 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 69' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 71' goal
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 82' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 83' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Espen van Ee 49'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 60'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 76'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 83'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 83'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 84'
Primeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyun-ju Lee 59' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Cesar 18'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 22'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 23'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 34'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 73'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 74'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Francisco Rodrigues 90'+5'