Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 12, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 4 Famalicao
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Georgios Koutsias

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Dawda Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw has a probability of 27.01% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (7.58%).

Result

Famalicao 50.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 27.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Alverca 22.58% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 45.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 54.89% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 23.8% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 87.17% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Famalicao 36.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 44.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Alverca 18.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Famalicao 57.98% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 8.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Alverca 33.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 42.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 46.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 32.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.63% ▼ (-0.03)

Famalicao Goals

Over 1.5 44.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 57.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 42.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 22.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 77.4% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 6.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 93.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Famalicao 50.45%
Draw 27.02%
Alverca 22.58%
Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.02%
Alverca
0-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.58%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 16, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Famalicão
  • Umar Abubakar 65' yellowcard
  • Roméo Beney 79' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 81' yellowcard
  • Roméo Beney 81' yellowcard
  • Umar Abubakar 83' goal
  • Marcos Peña 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Antoine Joujou 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 81'
  • yellowcard Felipe de Almeida Lima 88'
  • yellowcard Vasco Moreira 88'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Garcia 88'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Garcia 90'
  • yellowcard Kauan 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Figueiredo 46' yellowcard
  • Sandro Lima 58' yellowcard
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 70' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 70' yellowcard
  • Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leite 80' yellowcard
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roméo Beney 59'
  • yellowcard Pedro Bondo 77'
  • yellowcard Simon Elisor 77'