Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 1 - 3 Alverca
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matchoi Djaló

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Georgios Koutsias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.7% and a draw has a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result

Nacional 30.7% (-3.77)
Draw 27.69% (+0.18)
Famalicao 41.61% (+3.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.07% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.19% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 26.81% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 48.58% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 51.42% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 26.85%
Under 3.5 73.15%
Over 4.5 14.22% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.78% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Nacional 23.2% (-0.82)
Draw 47.5% (-1.94)
Famalicao 29.3% (+2.75)

Team To Score First

Nacional 43.18% (-0.92)
No Goal 8.08% (-0.14)
Famalicao 48.74% (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.14% (-2.75)
Equal 8 11.44% (+0.28)
Under 8 29.43% (+2.49)
Over 9 47.36% (-2.76)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.86% (+2.75)
Over 10.5 36.24% (-2.54)
Under 10.5 63.76% (+2.54)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 31.72% (-2.85)
Under 1.5 68.28% (+2.85)
Over 2.5 11.13% (-1.80)
Under 2.5 88.87% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 3.15% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 96.85% (+0.79)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 73.56% (+2.66)
Under 0.5 26.44% (-2.65)
Over 1.5 40.37% (+2.91)
Under 1.5 59.63% (-2.91)
Over 2.5 16.66% (+1.97)
Under 2.5 83.34% (-1.96)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.83)

Score analysis

Nacional 30.69%
Draw 27.68%
Famalicao 41.6%
Nacional
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.74)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.54)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.66)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.47)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.36)
Other @ 2.99% (-0.83)
Total : 30.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.05)
Total : 27.68%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 10.24% (+0.56)
1-2 @ 9% (+0.56)
0-2 @ 6.98% (+0.56)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.47)
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.56)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.25% (+0.79)
Total : 41.6%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Ibrahima Ba 63' goal
  • Marcos Peña 79' yellowcard
  • Umar Abubakar 79' yellowcard
  • Antoine Joujou 87' yellowcard
  • Léo Realpe 89' yellowcard
  • Léo Realpe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Witiness Quembo 77'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 77'
  • yellowcard Filipe Soares 77'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 84'
Primeira Liga
Nov 1, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Daniel Penha 14' goal
  • Ze Vitor 78' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 78' yellowcard
  • Arvin Appiah 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Abidi 90'+4' goal
  • Gustavo Garcia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enea Mihaj 34'
  • yellowcard Mathias De Amorim 51'
  • goal Oscar Aranda 56'
  • yellowcard Otar Mamageishvili 88'
  • yellowcard Simon Elisor 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Enea Mihaj 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arvin Appiah 36'
  • yellowcard Tiago Margarido 37'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 64'
  • yellowcard Nigel Thomas 70'
  • yellowcard Rui Filipe Teixeira Encarnacao 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 39' goal
  • Gil Dias 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Jaime 77' goal
  • Carlos Valenzuela 80' goal
  • Heriberto Tavares 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 44'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 30, 2021 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kenji Gorre 34' yellowcard
  • Witi 37' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 53' goal
  • Chico Ramos 57' goal
  • Nuno Borges 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joao Camacho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Piscitelli 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 81'