Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 3.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • William Kokolo 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Dias 74' yellowcard
  • Matheus Dias 77' redcard
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 7'
  • goal Sorriso 13'
  • yellowcard Víctor Rofino 28'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 40'
  • yellowcard Pedro Bondo 63'
  • goal Sorriso 67'
  • yellowcard Finn van Breemen 75'

Nacional vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 1 - 3 Alverca
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matchoi Djaló

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Georgios Koutsias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Nacional 31.02%
Draw 27.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Famalicao 41.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.02% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.58% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 23.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 47.29% ▼ (-0.14)
Famalicao 28.74% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Nacional 42.86% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Famalicao 49.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 11.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 29.94% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 9 46.91% ▲ (+0.28)
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 41.37% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 35.88% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 64.12% ▼ (-0.25)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 32.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.28%
Under 3.5 96.72%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 73.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 26.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 31.02%
Draw 27.48%
Famalicao 41.45%
Nacional
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 31.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.48%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.45%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Ibrahima Ba 63' goal
  • Marcos Peña 79' yellowcard
  • Umar Abubakar 79' yellowcard
  • Antoine Joujou 87' yellowcard
  • Léo Realpe 89' yellowcard
  • Léo Realpe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Witiness Quembo 77'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 77'
  • yellowcard Filipe Soares 77'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 84'
Primeira Liga
Nov 1, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Daniel Penha 14' goal
  • Ze Vitor 78' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 78' yellowcard
  • Arvin Appiah 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Abidi 90'+4' goal
  • Gustavo Garcia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enea Mihaj 34'
  • yellowcard Mathias De Amorim 51'
  • goal Oscar Aranda 56'
  • yellowcard Otar Mamageishvili 88'
  • yellowcard Simon Elisor 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Enea Mihaj 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arvin Appiah 36'
  • yellowcard Tiago Margarido 37'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 64'
  • yellowcard Nigel Thomas 70'
  • yellowcard Rui Filipe Teixeira Encarnacao 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 39' goal
  • Gil Dias 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Jaime 77' goal
  • Carlos Valenzuela 80' goal
  • Heriberto Tavares 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 44'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 30, 2021 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kenji Gorre 34' yellowcard
  • Witi 37' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 53' goal
  • Chico Ramos 57' goal
  • Nuno Borges 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joao Camacho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Piscitelli 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 81'