Taca de Portugal
Oct 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
ET Estádio João Cardoso
  • Zé Ricardo 25' yellowcard
  • Arjen van der Heide 41' yellowcard
  • Carraça 99' goal
  • Mateus Sarará 100' yellowcard
  • Tiago Dias 105'+1' goal

Tondela vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

Alverca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Alverca win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 44.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Alverca 28.97% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 27.69% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 47.9% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 52.1% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 26.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 73.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 14.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 85.38% ▲ (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Tondela 31.07%
Draw 46.78%
Alverca 22.16%

Team To Score First

Tondela 54.82% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Alverca 37.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.87%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 39.31%
Over 9 37.63%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 51.13%
Over 10.5 27.78%
Under 10.5 72.22%

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 40.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 82.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 36.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 29.49% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 70.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 10.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 89.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Tondela 44.16%
Draw 26.87%
Alverca 28.97%
Tondela
1-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.87%
Alverca
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 28.97%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López 46' yellowcard
  • Juanse 46' yellowcard
  • Hugo Felix 62' yellowcard
  • Joao Silva 62' yellowcard
  • João Silva 62' yellowcard
  • Hugo Félix 62' yellowcard
  • Arjen van der Heide 76' yellowcard
  • Joao Silva 80' goal
  • João Silva 80' goal
  • Tiago Miguel Silva Manso 87' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 87' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Milovanovic 4'
  • goal Marko Milovanović 4'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 71'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 71'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 71'
  • yellowcard José Julián Martínez Crisanto 71'
  • yellowcard Steven Baseya 82'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 85'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 85'
Primeira Liga
Sep 12, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT