Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 1.00am
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 5.00pm
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Al-Ahli

Tondela

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00pm
Tondela 1 - 1 Sao Joao Ver

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 27.16% and a draw has a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Tondela win is 1-2 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Rio Ave 45.81% (+0.03)
Draw 27.03% (-0.24)
Tondela 27.16% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.48% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 23.52% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 53.93% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 46.07% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 32.83% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 67.17% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.93% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 81.07% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 32.12% (-0.11)
Draw 45.4%
Tondela 22.48% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 52.55% (-0.14)
No Goal 7.47% (-0.17)
Tondela 39.98% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 59.36% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 29.6% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.98% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.64% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.19% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.81% (-0.02)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 46.45% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 53.55% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 21.77% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 78.23% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 8.42% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.58% (-0.07)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 64.15% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 35.85% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 31.71% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 68.29% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 11.67% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.33% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.6% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.4% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 45.8%
Draw 27.03%
Tondela 27.17%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.95% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.24% (+0.08)
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.27% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 27.03%
Tondela
1-2 @ 6.57% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.42% (+0.09)
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2026 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Yaya Sithole 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan 74' yellowcard
  • Hélder Tavares 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan 75' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 80' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 81' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Bezerra 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ryan 60'
  • goal Jalen Blesa 70'
  • yellowcard Tamble Monteiro 72'
  • yellowcard João Tomé 72'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 90'
Primeira Liga
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2022 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Aderlan 6' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 63' redcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 69' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 106' yellowcard
  • Hugo Gomes 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Boselli 76'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 82'
  • goal Renat Dadasov 96'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 105'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 116'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toni Borevkovic 5' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 39' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mane 59' goal
  • Rafael Camacho 64' goal
  • Pele 87' yellowcard
  • Gelson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdel Medioub 10'
  • goal Jhon Murillo 32'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Ricardo Alves 9' goal
  • Tomislav Strkalj 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Joao Pedro 83' goal
  • goal Gelson 74'
  • goal Gelson 90'