Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • 47' goal
  • Jalen Blesa 47' goal
  • 54' goal
  • 90'+1' goal

Rio Ave vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 5.00pm
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Al-Ahli

Tondela

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00pm
Tondela 1 - 1 Sao Joao Ver

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Rio Ave 45.83% (+0.02)
Draw 27% (-0.04)
Tondela 27.17% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.88% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.55% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.45% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 54.03% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.97% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 32.9% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.1% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.99% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.01% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 32.16% (+0.04)
Draw 45.38% (-0.02)
Tondela 22.46% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 52.49% (-0.06)
No Goal 7.43% (-0.05)
Tondela 40.08% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.45% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.51% (-0.09)
Over 9 48.05% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.55% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 37.24% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.76% (-0.06)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 46.52% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.48% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.83% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.46% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.54% (-0.04)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 64.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.25% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.68% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.32% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.62% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.38% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 45.82%
Draw 27%
Tondela 27.16%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.27% (+0.03)
Total : 45.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 27%
Tondela
1-2 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.43% (+0.02)
Total : 27.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2026 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Yaya Sithole 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan 74' yellowcard
  • Hélder Tavares 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan 75' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 80' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 81' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Bezerra 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ryan 60'
  • goal Jalen Blesa 70'
  • yellowcard Tamble Monteiro 72'
  • yellowcard João Tomé 72'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 90'
Primeira Liga
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2022 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Aderlan 6' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 63' redcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 69' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 106' yellowcard
  • Hugo Gomes 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Boselli 76'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 82'
  • goal Renat Dadasov 96'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 105'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 116'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toni Borevkovic 5' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 39' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mane 59' goal
  • Rafael Camacho 64' goal
  • Pele 87' yellowcard
  • Gelson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdel Medioub 10'
  • goal Jhon Murillo 32'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Ricardo Alves 9' goal
  • Tomislav Strkalj 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Joao Pedro 83' goal
  • goal Gelson 74'
  • goal Gelson 90'