Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2026 6.45pm
Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw has a probability of 14.71% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.85%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (2.91%).

Result

Benfica 77.98% ▼ (-1.91)
Draw 14.71% ▲ (+0.86)
Alverca 7.3% ▲ (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% ▲ (+2.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.92% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 18.08% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 61.62% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 2.5 38.38% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 3.5 40.36% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 59.64% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 30.23% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 69.77% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Benfica 63.53% ▼ (-2.19)
Draw 27.82% ▲ (+1.65)
Alverca 8.66% ▲ (+0.55)

Team To Score First

Benfica 79.82% ▼ (-0.97)
No Goal 4.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Alverca 15.56% ▲ (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.23% ▲ (+1.46)
Equal 8 9.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 24.31% ▼ (-1.48)
Over 9 55.93% ▲ (+1.33)
Equal 9 10.3% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 33.77% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 10.5 45.55% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 10.5 54.45% ▼ (-1.11)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 71.19% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 28.81% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 47.08% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 52.92% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.29)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 35.2% ▲ (+2.33)
Under 0.5 64.8% ▼ (-2.33)
Over 1.5 10.3% ▲ (+1.36)
Under 1.5 89.7% ▼ (-1.35)
Over 2.5 1.82% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 98.18% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 0.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Benfica 78%
Draw 14.72%
Alverca 7.31%
Benfica
2-0 @ 12.51% ▼ (-0.67)
3-0 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.55)
1-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.74)
2-1 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 26.35% ▼ (-0.28)
Total : 78%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.43)
0-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 14.72%
Alverca
0-1 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.58)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 7.31%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Andreas Schjelderup 16' goal
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 73' yellowcard
  • Georgiy Sudakov 73' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 85' yellowcard
  • Bruma 85' yellowcard
  • Anísio 85' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 86' goal
  • Anísio 86' goal
  • Antonio Silva 88' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 88' yellowcard
  • Enzo Barrenechea 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • António Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Figueiredo 30'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Garcia 46'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Garcia 46'
  • yellowcard Rhaldney 71'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 82'
  • yellowcard Isaac James 88'
Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT